Time for a new cosmology?

This is a recent review, of Unger and Smolin’s The SIngular Universe and the Reality of Time. It’s a book described by the authors as a contribution to natural philosophy. It’s quite long, and my review was short, so I didn’t have scope to reflect on that aspect much, but it remained on my mind. I mean to get round to writing a bit more on that shortly, so meantime I’m posting my first thoughts on the (intriguing but also slightly irritating) book.

Cosmology is one of the oldest subjects for story-telling, but one of the youngest sciences. Its modern sense of scientific theorising about the universe as a whole is barely a century old. Some of the theories in play make predictions of astonishing reach and accuracy. Yet the big picture they paint remains unsatisfactory. The two great theoretical successes, general relativity and quantum theory, do not play nicely together. The “standard model” of particles and forces incorporates numerous quantities whose values call for explanation. The universe contains so-called dark matter, or dark energy, that we cannot observe directly. And it all began with a Big Bang, seemingly producing something from nothing.

Viewed with an uncharitable eye, it is all pretty ramshackle. In fact, say the authors of this book, cosmology is in crisis. We may disregard that rhetoric. It is not a situation it is imperative to resolve any time soon. The universe, we now know, is exceedingly large, and exceedingly old. If it takes another few hundred years to knock cosmological theories into better shape, that will probably be fine.

Still, it is worth considering the way forward. In a science always at the margin where physics turns into metaphysics that means critiquing fundamental assumptions. The main one challenged here is that there are scientific laws which are timeless. The most important thing we have learnt about the one universe, say Unger and Smolin, is that it has a history. As nothing is outside the universe, the laws of physics must have a history, too. They changed before, and may do so again.

The book in which they argue this case is an odd beast. Roberto Unger, best known for his work in political philosophy and critical legal studies, contributes the first two-thirds, Lee Smolin, cosmologist, the final third. Together, they suggest, this produces a text, accessible to the general reader, which is a contribution to natural philosophy. That is a genre which they say at one point has disappeared, while elsewhere suggesting that some popular science books deserve the label. The latter seems more accurate, especially bearing in mind Smolin’s own recent Time Reborn (2013), which makes just the arguments found here.

The addition of Unger’s detailed exposition does add to that book, but at a cost. He argues with care that there is one universe, it works in real time, and mathematics can be an aid to understanding it but not a master key. His readers, though, would benefit if he had an editor who urged that clarity need not be achieved at the cost of repetition which in parts is so insistent it becomes almost hypnotic. His portion of the book could easily be reduced by 100 pages or so.

Their basic approach is attractive, however, to those of us who live in a time-ordered everyday world. It has the additional virtue, perhaps, of doing away with the multiverse – the fashionable notion that mere mathematical possibility indicates that our universe is one of uncountably many, each with different laws and natural constants, whose existence we may infer but that all lie forever beyond observation.

They dislike this idea a lot, nearly as much as the contention that the universe arose from a singularity – a state in which key quantities tend to infinity and the laws we normally reckon by are invalid. Their own metaphysical predilection, it seems, is that infinities are mathematical results that can have no physical correlate. They simply highlight something we do not understand.

Overall, the book is an admirable restatement of cosmological ambition. “The universe must contain enough information to answer any query that can be made about its properties”, declares Smolin. To which the only sensible response seems to be – well, perhaps. The resolution of curent problems in cosmology may lie in the direction they propose, although few of Smolin’s colleagues are persuaded. For the rest of us, it is easy to sympathise with his and Unger’s insistence that proposing the multiverse means “the transmutation of a scientific enigma into an ontological fantasy”. But remove the fantasy, and the enigma still remains.

The Singular Universe and the Reality of Time

by Roberto Mangabeira Unger and Lee Smolin

Cambridge University Press

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